The distributions of birds in Canada’s northern forests are expected to be impacted by climate change, but it remains unclear which pathways are responsible for projected climate effects. This new paper, led by Tatiane Micheletti developed statistical and simulation models for boreal birds, wildfire, and forest growth using the SpaDES modelling framework. Point count data for bird models came from the BAM database and was supplemented by ARU data from WildTrax. The results demonstrate that most of the predicted changes in bird distributions were due to direct climate effects.

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